I for one am tired of all the blah, blah, blah about the EU failing, some of it of course from me as well. It is a story where everyone knows the ending and I am tired of hearing about it, tired of waiting for that magical moment when the cards fall down and, really, really, tired of all the false promises that a fix is in the cards. Shhhhhh... listen in closely . . . . and I will give you a deep, dark secret. Ready? THERE AIN'T NO FREAKIN' FIX.
The PIIGS are toast and everyone knows it. EU has been kicking the can hoping to save the banks, not the PIIGS, but even that is not working. Given the debt loads, they would need to kick the can for another decade just to get past the worst of it. Do you think the governments or voters in the EU countries are willing to wait this long? Are you ready to keep reading about this issue for another decade? I pause for a minute while you chew on this . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (imagine the background track from the last question in Jeopardy playing right now) . . . . . . . . . . (ding!). Your time is up. If you voted more can kicking, leave this blog now and never come back. And beware, natural selection is likely to catch up to you soon. If you voted, let the PIIGS default and deal with it (and the rest of the world deal with it of course), then you have my thanks.
Okay, it will be another major financial meltdown and it will impact all corners (like there are any on a globe) of the Earth, but better to deal with it now than lose a decade or two and then have everyone vociferating (you like it when I use big words) about how we should have pulled the plug earlier. Seriously, default is a bad word, but countries tend to get over it in time. And if your are one of many, you tend to fade to the background.
Sure some big banks in the EU and US and elsewhere will go under or need further government support (I support the former by the way) but there is plenty of capital sitting around on this globe in corporations to weather the storm. Wait another decade, I am not so sure.
So folks, I say pull the trigger, pop the bubble, yank the cord, pull the plug or whatever you catch-phrase seems to be, but let's do our best to let defaults happen, put it behind us, control the damage and move on. There simply is no better choice.
Okay, let me retract on that last statement. If the EU were to be a true union and all the countries joined together for common government financing and they agreed to print the hell out of the euro to devalue it, then maybe the EU could survive without massive defaults. But try to sell this idea to Germany.
Disclosures: None.
Wednesday, November 16, 2011
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