Thursday, July 23, 2009

Microsoft, American Express and Amazon Gonna Hurt

Let me start by disclosing that I have put options on Microsoft and American Express. Not a big deal as I bought them a while ago and they are nearly worthless. They will improve tomorrow, but I ain't retiring on them any time soon. Still, I feel a bit justified in my picks given that they are all showing poorer quarterly profits than most anticipated and are down around 5-6%.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aPlycL0a_BH4

And You Know We are Out of the Woods When . . .

When Swiss banks run out of room for gold bullion we know everyone thinks equities are the right place for their money, that inflation is not a risk and that everything is honky dory. Need I say more . . .

http://www.mineweb.co.za/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page34?oid=86392&sn=Detail

Bad News - Banks May Need to Come Clean (Probably NOT!!)

As this link explains the FASB is considering rules to make banks record financial assets at fair value. Now this would be disastrous for many banks recording assets at fantasy values (a reason PIPP is not working) and the last thing the banks (or Administration) wants is them being transparent (at least at the moment). FASB has already delayed some transparency plans for these very reasons and expect them to do so again. Seriously folks, the last thing this economy needs is financial institutions telling the truth. We would rather, much rather, invest based upon make believe. My daughter likes ferry tales too.

http://www.mineweb.co.za/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page34?oid=86392&sn=Detail

CREmated Update

I posted yesterday briefly on commercial real estate (CRE) going down the tubes. Just providing a couple of links on the same subject:

http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2009/07/real-estate-commercial-and-residential.html

http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2009/07/hotel-revpar-off-175-yoy.html

Did I mention that Calculated Risk is my favorite site on real estate?

Disclosures - See above at the beginning of this post. Otherwise, none.

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